Master the Crypto Market
Whales · Cycles · Data · Trends · Psychology · Regulation · Liquidity — content to see through markets and build a durable investing framework.
A. Whales — the invisible hand of markets (10)
How whales control market pace
Primary driver of trends: how whales create buy sell rhythm.
Why whales buy when retail panics
Psychology paradox: smart money accumulates in fear.
Track whale wallets — full guide
Process, tools and signals to follow whales effectively.
Absorption vs distribution by whales
Indicators to identify accumulation and distribution phases.
Common shakeout tactics by whales
Stop-hunt and fake breakouts mechanics.
When whale behavior diverges from price
Divergence between whale data and price action.
Whales build inventory in extreme fear
Large wallets accelerate buys in extreme fear signals.
Biggest whale week — meaning and signals
What the strongest whale activity week says about trend.
Early signals of whale moves
Inflow/outflow, wallet spikes and ratio as early indicators.
Whales vs institutions — who leads
Interaction between large wallets and institutional capital.
B. Cycles — repeating market rhythm (10)
Why crypto markets have cycles
Capital structure, psychology and liquidity cause repetition.
Three core cycles: emotion, capital, macro
Composite cycle framework to locate market state.
Spot cycle tops — five indicators
Indicator set to confirm tops: ratios, funding and flows.
Spot cycle bottoms — six indicators
Indicator set to confirm bottoms: fear, realized price, volume.
Bottom formation after mass liquidations
Wide forced liquidations rebalance and form bottoms.
Why shakeout is part of cycles
Shakeout redistributes positions and cleans leverage.
Compare cycles 2017, 2021, 2025 — lessons
Repeating patterns and differences among cycles.
Volume and cycle reversals
Role of volume in confirming reversals and new trends.
Does the last drop always happen
Probability, conditions and how to react.
Survive cycles without being shaken out
Positioning, discipline and risk framework by cycle.
C. Psychology — fear drives decisions (6)
Fear and Greed Index — market thermometer
Read Fear and Greed to locate crowd psychology.
Why retail sells the bottom
Emotional mechanism that concentrates sell-offs at bottoms.
Buy using fear signals — contrarian framework
Identify actionable fear for trades.
Retail capitulation patterns
Common characteristics and trend implications.
Fear vs whale accumulation
Relationship between extreme fear and large wallet buying.
D. Data — edge that removes emotion (8)
Read on-chain data — beginners guide
Basic framework and common on-chain data sources.
Buy Sell Ratio — contextual trend indicator
Interpretation to confirm market bias.
Exchange inflow and outflow — correct reading
Decode flows to and from exchanges by context.
Glassnode whale indicators — explained
Key metrics for large wallets and accumulation.
Long term holder behavior and cycle signals
Role of LTH in bottoms, tops and trend durability.
Realized Price — strongest bottom indicator
Why Realized Price aligns with durable bottoms.
Funding Rate — strongest top indicator
Funding reflects leverage and warns tops.
BTC orderbook depth, liquidity and price volatility
Orderbook depth, spread, liquidity shifts and price impact.
E. Macro and Policy — backdrop for long trends (8)
Why FOMC often triggers volatility
Policy transmission channel to expectations and pricing.
How rate cycles influence BTC
Cost of capital channel and risk preference.
How USD liquidity decides bull and bear
USD flows and liquidity conditions define regimes.
Market Structure Bill — price impact
Legal framework reshapes structure and expectations.
Why regulatory easing lifts markets
Less constraints → more acceptance → broader capital.
Stablecoin regulation and BTC relationship
How stablecoin policy affects BTC liquidity.
US vs China — crypto policy race
Contrasting directions and digital payment ecosystems.
How ETF flows change cycles
ETF inflows reallocate attention and fuel cycles.
F. Investment Framework — turn chaos into structure (8)
Why long term investors often win
Time, discipline and probability optimization.
Build an anti emotion investing system
Rules to reduce biases and impulsive decisions.
Design your accumulation rhythm
Schedule buys by cycle and personal cash flow.
Why DCA fits most investors
DCA optimizes timing risk and accumulation discipline.
Avoid the six common emotional traps
Common mistakes list and how to avoid.
Build your own contrarian indicators
Construct indicators based on psychology and data.
Confirm bottom with indicators
Indicator set to confirm bottom formation.
Three principles to master markets
Data, structure and emotion as pillars.