Consensus & Divergence

Whale/shark accumulation with retail profit-taking is a bullish divergence. A sustained break above 95k toward 100k strengthens upside odds. Watch 88k–90k as invalidation.

Retail selling often marks local fear. Paired with whale accumulation, at least a minor breakout is likely in the near term.

Positive setup, but 95k–100k is heavy resistance. Wait for breakout confirmation with volume; avoid chasing into options-heavy levels.

Plan: add size only after 95k confirmation; scale entries; set stops under 90k. Avoid high leverage until trend is validated.

Santiment notes +56,227 BTC added by whales since mid-December. Markets often follow whales, not small wallets. Near-term momentum skew is up.

Price pressing the upper bound strengthens breakout narrative. A clean hold above 95k would signal near-term upside continuation.

Sideways 87k–94k is healthy consolidation. Options interest at 100k could pull price, but execution discipline matters more than narratives.

Options structure and supply redistribution support a healthy consolidation. Execution discipline is crucial as volatility rises.

Low leverage reduces crash risk and supports gradual upside. Risk management remains the key when volatility increases.

Without solid volume, accumulation signals can fail. A break below 88k–90k invalidates the bullish bias and opens deeper correction risk.